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2024-12-13 23:08:07
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CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.Rare! The Indian opposition applied to impeach the Vice President. According to the Indian Express, the opposition coalition of the Indian Parliament filed an application on the 10th to impeach Jagdeep Dhankar, the Indian Vice President and Speaker of the House of Lords, on the grounds that Dhankar "presided over the agenda of the House of Lords in an extremely biased way". This is the first time in Indian history that such impeachment has been proposed. (Global Times)Offshore RMB and Australian dollar rose slightly. Affected by the news, USD/offshore RMB fell 0.1% to 7.2696. AUD/USD rose 0.2% to 0.6381. A foreign exchange trader in Asia said that the small leveraged account that shorted AUD/USD on Wednesday also closed its position. NZD/USD rose 0.1% to 0.5792.


CITIC Securities: The resonance between supply and demand of medical beauty accelerates the space expansion, and the difference in operating ability promotes the evolution of the industry structure. CITIC Securities Research Report stated that the medical beauty industry has both medical and consumption attributes, and the medical attribute has strong product-driven characteristics, while the consumption attribute has high operating ability requirements. The medical beauty botulinum toxin track is also affected by the dual attributes of medicine and consumption: 1) The increase in penetration rate, the acceleration of compliance substitution and the extension of indications have brought about high demand for medical beauty botulinum toxin, and with the recent supply expansion, the industry scale has experienced high growth; 2) The iteration of product innovation is slow, brand barriers are created through marketing, doctors are empowered through direct sales, and control is strengthened to enhance product competitiveness. Recently, a variety of medical botulinum toxins in China have been approved, and the promotion of low-priced products is expected to push up the penetration rate, and enterprises with strong operational capabilities will enter the market or promote the evolution of the pattern.The number of employed people in Australia increased by 35,613 in November, and it is estimated to be 25,000.OPENAI said that it is working hard to solve the current fault problem.


Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.18 shares were rated by brokers, and Yuhetian's target increased by 54.72%. On December 11th, a total of 18 shares were rated by brokers, and 6 of them announced their target prices. According to the highest target price, Yuhetian, Steady Medical Care and Fulongma ranked in the top, with increases of 54.72%, 19.96% and 17.62% respectively. Judging from the direction of rating adjustment, the ratings of 12 stocks remain unchanged and 6 stocks are rated for the first time. In addition, one stock attracted the attention of many brokers, and Hagrid Communications was ranked in the top number, with two brokers rating it respectively. Judging from the Wind industry to which the rated stocks are bought, the number of rated stocks for technical hardware and equipment, capital goods and materials II is the largest, with 4, 3 and 2 respectively.CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.

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